“Cairo-Washington” negotiations.. Will they save Netanyahu from his crises?

Analysts and observers speaking to Sky News Arabia believe that there is a clear shift in Israeli positions towards Gaza warAs a result of continued international pressure for a ceasefire and to move forward with negotiations that would allow the implementation of a truce and the release of Detainees in GazaAs well as delaying the invasion of Rafah by presenting the axes of its vision to the American administration, which directly opposed this operation.

“Cairo-Washington” negotiations

• In Cairo, an Israeli delegation consisting of representatives of… Shin Bet AndIsraeli army And Mossad; To hold talks with Egyptian intelligence in an attempt to break the deadlock in negotiations regarding Prisoner exchange deal And the martyrs.
• Netanyahu met with intelligence chiefsMossad“And the Shin Bet, where his office revealed after the meeting that the Israeli Prime Minister had agreed to hold new talks in order to release the detainees within a possible ceasefire agreement, and to reach an agreement. A truce in Gaza.
• Office said Netanyahu He approved the return of the delegation led by Mossad chief David Barnea to Doha in order to resume prisoner exchange negotiations and a ceasefire in The war on GazaAnd the head of the Shin Bet, Ronen Bar, headed to parallel talks in Cairo.
• The Israeli Broadcasting Corporation said that the mediators are interested in presenting a new plan to the parties in order to make this round a success.
• Despite the new round of negotiations, a number of detainees’ families called on Netanyahu to resign because of his handling of the negotiations to release detainees in Gaza, accusing him of deliberately sabotaging the talks for his own political purposes, according to the Times of Israel.
• The families of the detainees also called for a mass demonstration in front of the headquarters The Knesset Next week, they will adjust their moves to pressure Netanyahu’s ouster.
• In Washington, high-level talks are being held between American and Israeli officials to discuss arrangements for the military operation that Israel intends to implement in Rafah.
• The talks scheduled for Monday come after Netanyahu suddenly canceled the talks that were scheduled to take place days ago, after the United States refrained from obstructing a Security Council resolution that called for a ceasefire in Gaza, which sparked a clear disagreement with US President Joe Biden and his administration.
• American and Israeli officials said on Wednesday that Netanyahu’s office had been informed White House He wants to set another date for a canceled meeting to discuss the possible attack on the city of Rafah in the south Gaza stripAmid a tense climate between the two countries.
• Stress Biden Netanyahu should send a delegation from his country to discuss…Rafah operationBefore proceeding with any large-scale ground attack on the city, which includes more than a million displaced Palestinians.
• The Israeli delegation proposed rescheduling the talks for Monday, officials said, acknowledging that the timing was complicated by a March 31 deadline facing the Israeli government to draft a new law governing the conscription of ultra-Orthodox Jews, who have long been exempt from mandatory military service.

4 new developments

Speaking to Sky News Arabia, the analyst specializing in Israeli affairs, Ghassan Muhammad, considered that the Cairo negotiations are a new attempt to get out of the dead-end tunnel in everything related to the prisoner exchange deal, and a continuation of the previous negotiations, although there is still no data indicating the possibility of… Reaching an agreement between the two sides.

Ghassan said, however, that several developments must be taken into account that may contribute to bringing the solution closer or at least overcoming some of the points of disagreement that still exist between the two parties, including:

• Firstly: The crisis between the Biden administration and Netanyahu, which worsened further after Washington abstained from voting in Security Council On the ceasefire decision.
• secondlyNetanyahu retracted his decision to cancel the visit of an Israeli delegation to Washington and announced that the delegation would head to the United States to discuss the situation, especially the Rafah operation and the prisoner deal.
• Third: Threatening the families of Israeli prisoners to escalate to demand an agreement to return the detainees at any cost.
• Fourthly: Disagreements within the “War Cabinet,” where some of its members support the deal no matter the cost.

Netanyahu’s siege

The analyst specializing in Israeli affairs stated that Netanyahu is trying to exploit the time factor. Hoping to achieve gains or achievements that will allow him to agree to a deal with the least possible losses.

He added: “Netanyahu knows that his political fate has been decided regardless of the results of the Cairo and Washington negotiations, especially since he has become more besieged from inside and outside and is now between the jaws of pincers. He has no options or cards that allow him to continue procrastinating and maneuvering, but he hopes to… Obtaining guarantees that guarantee his political and personal future, because he knows that ending the war means resuming his trial.”

As a result of this blockade, he may be forced Israeli Prime Minister To make concessions regarding the prisoners’ issue, and to withdraw from the military operation in Rafah under American and Western pressure, according to Ghassan.

What is behind Israel’s flexibility?

For his part, the expert specializing in international relations, Ayman Samir, in his statements to Sky News Arabia, believes that there are a number of movements that reveal that… Tel Aviv It is open to offering some kind of “flexibility” that could constitute the beginning of a new deal between… agitation And Israel in the coming days.

“Samir” pointed out that he is with a visit Israeli Minister of Defense Yoav Galant to Washington, and the US administration set Monday as the date for the start of talks between Israel and the United States regarding the Rafah process. Major changes appeared in the Israeli position on a number of files, including the acceptance not to occupy the Gaza Strip, as Israel had previously been talking about occupying Gaza, whether temporarily or permanently. Permanently, but after about 6 months had passed, it became clear to her that this was impossible, and that the only option available to her was to protect her residents Gaza cover.

However, internal pressures on Netanyahu play a major role in allowing flexibility in the Gaza truce negotiations, especially since his vision of continuing the war regardless of the negotiations is not unanimous either in War council Or among the Israeli political elite, and there are many prominent figures in the opposition who greatly support the truce, according to the expert specializing in international relations.

“Samir” pointed out that the demonstrations of the prisoners’ families, whether in front of the government headquarters or in front of his house, represent great pressure on Netanyahu, which prompted him to send two teams to complete the negotiations, one to Cairo and the other to Doha, especially with the blockage of the military horizon for reaching the detainees without the path of diplomacy.

He stressed that the continued American criticism at all levels within the administration recently has affected Netanyahu, as he is currently seeking to improve his position.