NOAA publishes its winter weather forecast: what to expect in Southern California?
La Niña is expected to affect weather patterns across the United States from December to February
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its 2024-25 winter forecast, which focuses on the slowly developing La Niña phenomenon. This phenomenon is expected to affect weather patterns across the United States from December to February.
John Gottschalk, head of the operational forecasting branch at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, explains that La Niña is expected to particularly affect precipitation forecasts for the coming winter.
As for Southern California, inland areas show a slightly higher likelihood of below-normal precipitation. The rest of the country, including metropolitan Los Angeles, is in an area of uncertainty
Some areas of the United States are expected to experience above average precipitation. The Pacific Northwest, including Washington, Oregon and northern Idaho, is expected to have a wet winter. The metropolitan area, which includes states such as Michigan, Ohio and Indiana, may also see an increase in the amount of rain and snow.
However, other areas are expected to experience drier than normal conditions. The South and Southwest, including parts of Florida, Georgia, Arizona and New Mexico, may experience a drier winter. The southern plains, which include Texas, Oklahoma and a small portion of southwestern Kansas, are also expected to receive below-average precipitation.
As for Southern California, inland areas show a slightly higher likelihood of below-normal precipitation. The rest of the country, including metropolitan Los Angeles, is in an area of uncertainty.
In terms of temperatures, NOAA predicts that many areas of the southern United States will experience warmer than average temperatures. This includes the Gulf Coast region, such as Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama, as well as along the East Coast to New England. Parts of the metropolitan area and Pennsylvania are also expected to experience above average heat. In Southern California, including San Diego, Los Angeles, Riverside, San Bernardino and Ventura counties, above average temperatures are expected.
On the other hand, the Pacific Northwest and the Northern Plains, including states such as Washington, Oregon, Montana and North Dakota, may experience below average temperatures. Parts of western Alaska are also expected to be colder than normal.
As for drought conditions, the forecast offers a mixed picture. Parts of Ohio, Indiana, Pennsylvania and West Virginia are expected to see relief from drought conditions. In contrast, the central and southern plains, including Texas, Kansas and Oklahoma, are expected to continue to suffer from persistent dry conditions. Parts of the Southwest, such as Arizona and New Mexico, may also experience prolonged drought. In addition, new drought conditions are expected to develop along the Gulf Coast.
It is important to note that this forecast provides general trends and not an accurate daily forecast. It reflects probabilities for seasonal temperatures and precipitation, but cannot predict specific weather events. Therefore, it is recommended to continue to monitor local forecasts for more accurate information about the daily weather.
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