A thousand days after the war between Russia and Ukraine broke out and only two days after US President Joe Biden gave the green light to the use of American Atmax ballistic missiles against Russian territory, the Kiev army announced last night (Tuesday) that it had used them for the first time across the border. Confirmation of the strike came Also from Moscow, which stated that five missiles out of six were intercepted. Following the attack, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov responded positively to the question about The possibility of a response with nuclear weapons.
“There is no doubt that this is an extreme scenario with a very low probability, but after the seven in October I am afraid to say that there are things that are not possible,” says Dr. Sagi Barmak, the editor-in-chief of the “Hashiloh” magazine, in an interview with the Mokur Rishon website. “There is no doubt that it is The most extreme thing that Putin can do – a move that will lead to a third world war. I have a hard time imagining that this threat will come true.”
As for the relationship between Russia and the United States, Dr. Barmak is less optimistic. “There is a very big tension between them today,” he emphasizes. “Russia feels threatened by the eastward expansion of the NATO countries led by the United States. On the other hand, the Americans see Russia as an aggressive and invasive force In everything that concerns Ukraine, therefore we continue to provide weapons and intelligence to the Ukrainians.”
Dr. Barmak even points to a dramatic change in policy after the elections. “Biden always provided the Kiev army with defensive measures so that they would not lose, but the White House always put a very strong brake on any offensive activity that Ukraine directed deep into Russia,” he explains. “Biden’s goal A further escalation of the conflict was to be prevented. However, this brake actually dropped after the Democratic Party lost the election.”
This is where President-elect Donald Trump came into the picture, who said time and time again throughout his election campaign that only he would be able to end the ongoing war. “If we look at the American right, we will find that the war in Ukraine is very unpopular,” notes Dr. Sagi Barmak. “The reason for this is mainly economic – the Republicans do not understand why the main financial burden falls on their shoulders when Ukraine is a European country and apparently it is an economic burden that the Europeans are supposed to carry it.”
According to the expert, the Republicans also think that the confrontation with Russia diverts attention from what they perceive as a much more dangerous and threatening front – the Chinese front. “In the end, the Republicans don’t really understand what the purpose of the war is or how it will end – after all, no one really dreams of subduing Russia,” Dr. Barmak continues.
Well, is the 47th President of the United States really the only one who can prevent World War III? “Trump’s election promises regarding the war between Russia and Ukraine were very vague, no one really knows how he intends to end the war. There are still a lot of question marks,” the expert clarifies. “Trump claims that he will prevent an escalation that will eventually lead to a third world war, but he does not specify how he intends to do this.”
According to Dr. Barmak, in order to end the war as quickly as possible, Trump has only three options. “The first option is to throw Ukraine under the wheels of the bus and cause it to lose the war, but I don’t think that’s what will happen – certainly not in any way It’s so rude, it will send a very bad message to all American allies, that the United States can no longer be trusted,” he says. “The second option is to go “all in” on the Ukrainian side, but Trump has already said that he is not going to do it and the truth is that it is also less likely.”
The third and last option, according to Dr. Barmak, is the most effective and likely. “Trump will present a plan that will require concessions from both sides and say that those who do not accept the plan will bear the consequences and will have to face American power,” he explains. “If I had to bet on a realistic scenario , I would probably bet on him.”
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